There is generally not a dominant weather feature that is steering the storm, so model forecasts can vary widely between each other and from run to run.
The storm, which followed Irma through the tropical Atlantic, was expected to spin back on itself, leaving some experts to believe the cooler water it had turned up previously would keep it weak for the short term, even dipping below hurricane-force over the next couple of days.
On late Monday afternoon, the NHC announced that Hurricane Jose continues to move far northeast of the Bahamas. It is forecast to weaken to Category 1 strength in a few days, with winds between 75 and 90 miles per hour. Understandably, not too many in the Sunshine State have had time or attention for Jose.
"Over the coming days, Jose will do a big loop roughly between Bermuda and the Bahamas", Haney said.
The storm is expected to remain at hurricane intensity in the Western Atlantic, and it could strengthen as it takes an odd, looping path that may bring it near the Bahamas and the United States this weekend. But forecasters warn that long-term forecasts are often off by hundreds of miles.
The storm may bring a high risk of rip currents, too.
Caicos before Irma
It was a category 1 hurricane.
It's possible that Jose could become a tropical storm by the day's end. Only three days earlier, Antigua and Barbuda had been devastated by a peak-strength Category 5 Irma, packing 185-mph winds.
Meanwhile, remnants of the destructive Hurricane Irma will likely be seen on the east coast as well.
Powerful Hurricane Jose missed the Leeward Islands this weekend, but it might have a second chance to strike the Caribbean and possibly Florida, forecasters said. If history is a guide, more will be on the way.
While hurricanes doing clockwise loops are rare, they are not unheard of.
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